Speaking Sensis

Recently, there’s been a lot of strong talk about the future opportunities created by mobile technology.

The highly respected Mary Meeker of Morgan Stanley recently said: “We believe more users may connect via mobile devices than desktop PCs within 5 years.” Eric Schmidt of Google was prompted to say: “If you want to understand the future of the internet, don’t think of it as pipes and tubes. Think of it broader as a mobile device.”

And Google Europe’s boss John Herlihy went a step further by saying: “In three years time, desktops will be irrelevant … In Japan, most research is done today on smart phones, not PCs.” While not everyone ascribes to Herlihy’s point of view, it does really underline the ‘mobile mania’ running through the industry at the moment.

So is this excitement justified? Simple answer - you bet!

First up, mobile Internet uptake has been extraordinary. The Sensis® eBusiness Report last year found that finding local products and businesses was the most popular use for mobiles with 41% searching for information on products and services and 36% searching for information on suppliers of products and services. By contrast, use for social networking is 40%.

And numbers are tipped to continue to grow and this will be borne out in the next Sensis® eBusiness Report, which will be out later this year. Usage of our mobile sites is also growing at a cracking pace. In 2009, usage of our mobile sites grew by 70% YoY.

 Mobiles – everyone has got one

Secondly, the headroom for growth is huge.

Globally there are currently about 3.2 billion mobile subscribers in the world and that number is expected to grow by at least a billion in the next few years. Today, mobile phones are more prevalent than cars (there’s about 800 million registered vehicles in the world) and credit cards (there’s only 1.4 billion of those). So significant has been there take up that fewer teens are now wearing watches because they use their phones to tell time. It could be safe to say that the mobile phone may be the most prolific consumer product to be invented.

Even in Australia there are more mobile services in operation than there are people!

Mobiles are evolving – rapidly

And thirdly, the mobile phones we have today are incredibly powerful, and getting moreso every month.

The first mobile internet connected device was launched in 1997.  The Synergy, launched by Philips, was the first smart phone on the market and while sales were poor, it paved the way for the smart phones of today.

And in 2000 Panasonic took things a step further with a converged gaming device and phone – a forerunner to the iPhone.  Again sales were poor and the phone was impossible to fit in your pocket, let alone the gaming console!  But these innovations helped shape where we are today.

The phones we use today are a totally different beast. In fact, behind all the cool applications is an engine that is probably ten times more powerful than the PC you had on your desk only 5 to 10 years ago.

And the whole mobile experience is just going to get better and better with new devices, new operating systems, like the Android and Apple’s OS4, and a never-ending stream of mobile apps.

The future …

But this is just the start. In fact, when you start to think about what’s coming in the coming five to ten years, the whole conversation starts to take on a distinctly Star Wars tone.

• Mobile internet will extend to new devices. Already we have seen the launch of iPad, NetBook, and Kindle – the next round of mobile connected devices will include in car Navigation systems;

• Solar powered phones – While there are already a few solar powered phones available today, we should expect to see them evolve quickly over the next 2 years with their primary goal to service third world countries and people who do not have access to electricity;

• Sixth Sense Technology – For me this is the most exciting mobile opportunity.  Imagine being able to project the content on your mobile phone onto a wall (or any surface for that matter) and use your hands to type emails, sort and share photos, read the newspaper and get shown the latest video content displayed onto the actual newspaper (yes the paper version)?  Oh and don’t forget that you’ll also be able to make phone calls, but they may change a little as well. Click here to look Sixth Sense Technology in action;

• Holographic screens – Do you remember in Star Wars when R2D2 mistakenly plays a holographic of Princess Leia saying: “Help me, Obi Wan. You’re my only hope”? Well we could expect that on our mobile devices in the next five to 10 years;

• Augmented reality – AR is live direct or indirect view of a physical real-world environment where elements are augmented by virtual computer-generated imagery;

• Near Field Communications – the ability to scan your mobile at the point of sale to pay for goods; and

• Wearable technologies – like a mobile phone in your glasses. In fact, Apple just hired wearable technology expert, Richard DeVaul, as “Senior Prototype Engineer”.

So there’s definitely a lot of reason for the excitement about mobiles and its being driven by usage that’s now mainstream and technology that’s advancing at a rate of knots.

At the end of the day, the mobile phone will prove itself to be more than just another channel. It will be a game-change for the way businesses and consumers all over the world communicate.